KF Tirana vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
1º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EGN
0 - 2
TIR
15%
25%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KUK
1 - 1
TIR
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 2
TIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
ZRI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
F91
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 1
KUK
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VLZ
25%
29%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSU
3 - 0
VLZ
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
VLZ
1 - 1
CSU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 1
VLZ
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |