UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-5
KF Tirana vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
TIR
2 - 1
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 3
TIR
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TIR
3 - 1
SHK
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 2
FLA
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BES
1 - 1
TIR
27%
28%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
STB
2 - 0
VKG
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
STB
4 - 0
LSK
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LYN
2 - 2
STB
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
STB
2 - 1
BBS
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
RBK
1 - 0
STB
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |