KF Tirana vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
1º
35
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
3 - 0
TEU
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VLZ
0 - 1
TIR
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
EGN
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
KUK
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
3 - 1
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 0
KUK
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 2
BYL
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ERZ
0 - 0
KRU
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
KRU
2 - 1
LAÇ
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
KRU
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |