Tineo vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+155%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tineo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 0
TIN
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TIN
3 - 3
TAP
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 2
TIN
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 3
TIN
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TIN
1 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 2
SMA
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
NAR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AND
1 - 0
NAR
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
4 - 3
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |