Timok vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JED
0 - 0
TIM
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TIM
2 - 0
TEL
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 1
TIM
62%
25%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TIM
0 - 0
MLA
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TIM
2 - 2
MLA
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NAP
3 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BEA
0 - 0
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 1
NAP
26%
29%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NAP
4 - 0
INI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
VOZ
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |