Timbaúba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VCR
1 - 2
TFC
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
VCR
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
TFC
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
LIM
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFO
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 0
NAU
7%
17%
76%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 2
LIM
85%
12%
3%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
TFC
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VCR
0 - 0
NAU
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |