Timbaúba vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 0
TFC
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
ADJ
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 0
TFC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 1
TFC
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 2
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
IFC
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
5 - 3
AFC
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ADJ
3 - 4
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SSS
1 - 2
CHA
20%
22%
59%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |