Timbaúba vs Jaguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+599%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 0
TFC
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
AFO
0 - 1
TFC
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 0
VCR
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
LIM
0 - 1
TFC
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 0
TFC
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 0
ADJ
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 0
ISC
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 3
BEL
25%
23%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FEC
2 - 5
ADJ
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |