Tilford Zebras vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 0
TIZ
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 4
TIZ
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 3
KIN
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LAU
4 - 2
TIZ
10%
17%
73%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TIZ
4 - 0
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
GLE
88%
9%
4%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SOU
6 - 2
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 3
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
DEV
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KIN
1 - 4
SOU
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |