Tilbury vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TIL
0 - 4
ENF
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 0
TIL
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TIL
1 - 2
POT
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
TIL
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
TIL
3 - 2
NEE
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
POT
4 - 4
WIN
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
NEE
4 - 1
WIN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 3
HEY
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 0
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |