Tilbury vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
THA
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 1
TIL
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 0
AVE
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
CRA
1 - 0
TIL
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LFC
2 - 2
WIN
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
RED
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOR
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
WAL
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
ASH
2 - 4
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |