Tilbury vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 0
TIL
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
TIL
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 2
WHI
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
WIV
6 - 1
TIL
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ENF
1 - 2
TIL
67%
20%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
ARL
0 - 2
WIN
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
WIN
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 3
CAN
26%
27%
48%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
POT
1 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |