Tilbury vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
RED
0 - 1
TIL
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 1
MAL
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 0
TIL
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
ARL
2 - 1
TIL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIL
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 0
WIN
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 4
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
5 - 1
ILF
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |