Tilbury vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
UXB
3 - 1
TIL
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
TIL
1 - 3
BAR
20%
22%
57%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 7
MAL
20%
23%
56%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TIL
3 - 3
LEI
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
WIN
0 - 1
MAL
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 1
EAS
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 3
WIN
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 0
UXB
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BOR
3 - 0
WIN
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |