Tilbury vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
WHI
1 - 3
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ARL
2 - 4
TIL
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
ILF
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DAR
5 - 0
TIL
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TIL
3 - 4
WAL
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
WAR
2 - 1
THA
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
RED
4 - 2
WAR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WAR
5 - 2
EDT
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WHI
1 - 3
WAR
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |