Tilbury vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
TIL
0 - 0
CRA
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TIL
2 - 1
WAL
68%
18%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TIL
1 - 0
HEY
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
RED
1 - 5
TIL
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 2
TIL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
COR
0 - 2
TOO
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOO
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TOO
2 - 7
CHA
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TOO
0 - 2
HAS
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
HYT
2 - 1
TOO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |