Tilbury vs Stansted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
TIL
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
THU
3 - 1
TIL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TIL
4 - 3
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 3
TIL
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
TIL
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stansted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
TIL
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
STA
2 - 1
TAK
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 0
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |