Tilbury vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TIL
1 - 0
POT
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
TIL
11%
19%
71%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TIL
3 - 1
LEI
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HEY
0 - 2
TIL
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TIL
0 - 1
YEL
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
LEI
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HEY
1 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
WAL
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 3
MAL
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
ENF
17%
21%
63%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +5 |