Tilbury vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HEY
0 - 2
TIL
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TIL
0 - 1
YEL
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
TIL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 5
TIL
17%
22%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 5
TIL
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 1
RED
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ILF
2 - 3
LEI
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 1
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LEI
6 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LEI
4 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |