Tilbury vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
TIL
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TIL
3 - 0
CAN
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
TIL
0 - 0
BAR
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 2
TIL
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TIL
0 - 3
SOH
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
4 - 0
SOH
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
GRA
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
BOW
1 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
CTF
30%
21%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 0
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |