Tilbury vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
TIL
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TIL
4 - 1
ILF
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
TIL
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
ENF
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
TIL
3 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
RED
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
GRA
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
GRA
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEI
2 - 2
GRA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |