Tilbury vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
1 - 1
ILF
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
2 - 1
ENF
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
POT
3 - 1
TIL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
0 - 3
BUR
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ILF
0 - 3
TIL
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 1
MAL
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 1
HOR
11%
20%
70%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
YEL
1 - 1
FLA
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 1
FLA
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |