Tilbury vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 2
TIL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 1
YEL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
TIL
3 - 0
POT
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EDT
1 - 1
TIL
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 1
MAL
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DAR
4 - 0
POT
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
DAR
3 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ILF
0 - 1
DAR
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DAR
1 - 0
YEL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 2
DAR
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |