Tilbury vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
EAS
3 - 0
TIL
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
TIL
1 - 3
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MAL
5 - 1
TIL
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
TIL
1 - 4
UXB
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SIT
0 - 1
TIL
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 0
DAR
17%
22%
62%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DAR
3 - 2
ARL
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BER
4 - 3
DAR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
2 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |