Tilbury vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
TIL
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
THU
4 - 3
TIL
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
YEL
4 - 0
TIL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 2
DER
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 0
FAV
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 2
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 3
AVE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
HAS
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
SOH
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |