FA Trophy 1/256
Global 1-2
Tilbury vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
MAL
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RED
1 - 3
TIL
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 2
TIL
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 0
TIL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
CRA
27%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 0
ATK
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CRA
4 - 2
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
DUL
1 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CRA
5 - 2
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |