Tilbury vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 0
TIL
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 7
TIL
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TIL
0 - 1
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
6 - 1
TIL
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TIL
2 - 1
SOH
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
FEL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 2
CAN
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 3
BOR
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |