Tilbury vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 1
TIL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
TIL
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 1
RED
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 1
YEL
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 4
HOR
12%
20%
68%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAL
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
POT
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAN
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ENF
1 - 0
CAN
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 0
POT
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |