Tilbury vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
TIL
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TIL
0 - 2
WAL
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 3
TIL
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
TIL
2 - 1
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
1 - 1
ILF
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CAN
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
POT
2 - 2
CAN
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAN
4 - 3
ENF
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CAN
6 - 1
ILF
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 2
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |