Tilbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 1
TIL
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TIL
0 - 0
WHI
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
TIL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
TIL
1 - 2
HEY
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
GRA
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 4
AVE
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
YEL
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
4 - 2
WHI
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |