Tilbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 2
TIL
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 2
TIL
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
TIL
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
HER
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 0
CHE
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 1
AVE
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 1
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 0
AVE
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |