Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TIL
2 - 1
WAR
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
TIL
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TIL
2 - 5
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
TIL
1 - 0
HEY
17%
20%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 3
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
YEL
2 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HEY
0 - 1
YEL
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 2
YEL
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 1
BAR
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 1
YEL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |