Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
TIL
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
6 - 1
TIL
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TIL
0 - 1
BRI
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 0
TIL
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TIL
3 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 1
WRO
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 2
WAL
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
YEL
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
YEL
5 - 1
GRE
85%
11%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HOR
1 - 1
YEL
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |