Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 2
TIL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
DER
4 - 1
TIL
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 0
TIL
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
WRO
0 - 1
TIL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TIL
1 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
YEL
3 - 0
ROM
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 3
YEL
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
YEL
1 - 1
HAR
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
YEL
3 - 2
WAR
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 4
YEL
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |