Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 1
WAL
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HYT
3 - 1
TIL
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
HEY
3 - 2
TIL
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIL
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
TIL
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
YEL
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HAS
0 - 1
YEL
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
YEL
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 1
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
5 - 0
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |