Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SOH
1 - 1
TIL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 1
TIL
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
TIL
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
TIL
6 - 1
WAR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TIL
2 - 2
POT
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ILF
1 - 1
YEL
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FAV
1 - 0
YEL
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
YEL
3 - 1
GRA
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
YEL
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
YEL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |