Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
TIL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
RED
1 - 1
TIL
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TIL
3 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 1
TIL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 0
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
YEL
2 - 4
WAL
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ENF
2 - 0
YEL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
YEL
6 - 0
POT
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
3 - 2
YEL
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -2 |