Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
TIL
3 - 0
POT
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EDT
1 - 1
TIL
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 1
MAL
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
TIL
3 - 2
CAN
25%
25%
49%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 1
TIL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EDT
1 - 0
YEL
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 2
ARL
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 3
YEL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DAR
1 - 0
YEL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
RED
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |