Tikvesh vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
9º
45
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
3 - 1
TIK
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
GOS
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
VOK
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
TIK
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
15%
21%
63%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
GOR
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
VOK
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |