Tikvesh vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
44.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 2
TIK
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 3
SHK
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 0
TIK
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POB
0 - 1
TIK
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
SHK
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
POB
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
20%
28%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
SHK
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |