Tikvesh vs 11 Oktomvri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 0
TIK
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TIK
9 - 1
OHR
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
TIK
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
TIK
4 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FKR
6 - 1
TIK
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
11O
1 - 0
POB
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 0
11O
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
11O
1 - 1
NOV
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
11O
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
11O
1 - 2
HTR
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |