Tijuana vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
NEC
5 - 2
TIJ
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
0 - 0
NEC
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
UAT
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 2
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
TIJ
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
UDG
79%
16%
6%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
DOR
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 2
UDG
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |