Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIJ
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TIJ
0 - 3
TIG
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TOL
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |