Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
TIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
TIJ
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TIJ
3 - 0
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
VER
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |