Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
TIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 0
TIJ
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
PUE
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |