Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 2
TIJ
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
QRO
0 - 1
TIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TIJ
0 - 0
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 3
TIJ
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |