Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
TIJ
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 2
TIJ
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ATS
3 - 2
TIJ
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TIJ
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |