Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 3
TIJ
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TIJ
2 - 1
QRO
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
TIJ
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
TIJ
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 2
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |