Tijuana vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 2
TIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TIG
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
TIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 2
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIJ
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAC
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 1
SNL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
4 - 2
ATS
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
5 - 0
PAC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |