Tijuana vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 2
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MER
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 2
TIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TIJ
3 - 3
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TIJ
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
REB
1 - 2
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 2
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 0
PUM
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |